This week’s two-pronged Chart of the Week may offer more food for debate and thought than it does clear answers. Given the number of variables that affect the U.S. economy, and the fact that today’s economy is a vastly different animal than that of the 1970s, 1980s or even 1990s (given the changes wrought by technology and globalization), the data may prove an interesting jumping off point for prognosticators interested in discussing what happens next, especially in light of the U.S. jobs market report for October, scheduled for release at the end of this week. It may end up proving to be the case, as Reuters BreakingViews suggested in this analysis, that these data points shape the election’s outcome, rather than any views of the lessons of history.
Tuesday, October 30, 2012
From Datastream:
This week’s two-pronged Chart of the Week may offer more food for debate and thought than it does clear answers. Given the number of variables that affect the U.S. economy, and the fact that today’s economy is a vastly different animal than that of the 1970s, 1980s or even 1990s (given the changes wrought by technology and globalization), the data may prove an interesting jumping off point for prognosticators interested in discussing what happens next, especially in light of the U.S. jobs market report for October, scheduled for release at the end of this week. It may end up proving to be the case, as Reuters BreakingViews suggested in this analysis, that these data points shape the election’s outcome, rather than any views of the lessons of history.
This week’s two-pronged Chart of the Week may offer more food for debate and thought than it does clear answers. Given the number of variables that affect the U.S. economy, and the fact that today’s economy is a vastly different animal than that of the 1970s, 1980s or even 1990s (given the changes wrought by technology and globalization), the data may prove an interesting jumping off point for prognosticators interested in discussing what happens next, especially in light of the U.S. jobs market report for October, scheduled for release at the end of this week. It may end up proving to be the case, as Reuters BreakingViews suggested in this analysis, that these data points shape the election’s outcome, rather than any views of the lessons of history.
Saturday, October 27, 2012
Technical Analysis
In a recent paper, Pierre Bajgrowicz and Olivier Scaillet question the profitability of technical analysis based trading strategies. I think it's an amazing paper.
Friday, October 26, 2012
Monday, October 22, 2012
Financial Crises and Recoveries
In a recent opinion column, Michael Bordo explains that financial crises in the U.S. have not necessarily been followed by weak recoveries. I like the evidence they present.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390444506004577613122591922992.html
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390444506004577613122591922992.html
Michael Bordo: Financial Recessions Don't Lead to Weak Recoveries
The evidence since 1880 shows a faster pace of recovery. The Obama years are the exception.
Follow the discussion at: http://gregmankiw.blogspot.com/2012/10/john-taylor-versus-paul-krugman.html
On writing
"Any one who wishes to
become a good writer should endeavour, before he allows himself to be
tempted by the more showy qualities, to be direct, simple, brief,
vigorous, and lucid."
H.W. Fowler
Monday, October 15, 2012
Nobel Prize in Economics 2012
Well, the day finally came. Scroll down to Advanced Information and read about the work of the new Nobel Laureates at http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/2012/advanced.html
To read from Alvin Roth, visit his blog at: http://marketdesigner.blogspot.com
Here is a primer on matching theory: http://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2012/10/noble-matching.html
To read from Alvin Roth, visit his blog at: http://marketdesigner.blogspot.com
Here is a primer on matching theory: http://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2012/10/noble-matching.html
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